Polls: 76% of Black Americans are ‘Almost Certain’ They’ll Vote in 2020 Election


The poll, conducted by Third Way and the Joint Center and first reported on by Axios, found that 45 percent of Black Americans are more motivated to vote next year, while another 40 percent are just as interested in voting as they were in 2016.

Only 5 percent of respondents said they were less interested in voting, while only 5 percent predicted that they wouldn’t vote.

This could spell trouble for President Trump and Republicans, who were helped in 2016 by lower turnout among black Americans in comparison to the years President Barack Obama, the country’s first black president, was on the ballot.

Trump edged out Democrat Hillary Clinton in 2016 in three key rust belt states – Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin – in order to win the nail-biter of the election. But higher turnout among black voters, especially in swing states, could make Trump’s 2020 bid much tougher.

Black women’s top issue is affordable housing, according to Axios, while black men’s No. 1 issue is health care costs.

The survey shows that black voters remain much more positive about the Democratic Party than Trump and the Republicans.

When respondents were asked how well Democrats in Congress understand their lives and the lives of their family members, 62 percent said Democrats understood them very or somewhat well. Another 37 percent responded not too well or not well at all.

When black Americans were asked how well Trump and the Republicans in Congress understood them, 13 percent answered that GOP leaders understood them very or somewhat well, while another 87 percent indicated that Trump and Republicans did not understand them well or at all.

Adding salt to the wound, the top reason for black voters to go out and vote, according to the survey, is ‘Donald Trump has been a disaster for our country, and we need to do everything we can to vote him out.’ Forty percent of survey respondents selected that choice, followed by 21 percent who said their top reason to vote was because it’s the best way for one’s voice to be heard by the government.

Black voters haven’t seen great economic strides since Trump won the presidency, the poll indicates.  Trump often boasts about the black unemployment rate as part of his booming economy at his campaign rallies.

When black voters were asked about their personal financial situation and the economic health of their neighborhoods, 50 percent said their financial situation stayed the same, while 55 percent said their neighborhoods stayed the same in the last two years.

In comparison, 22 percent responded that things have gotten better for them financially.

Another 15 percent said their neighborhood has improved.

A bigger chunk of respondents reported that things were worse, with 27 percent saying that about their personal financial situation and another 29 percent saying the neighborhood has declined.

A majority of respondents agreed that Trump’s election made people more aware of the racism and discrimination black Americans experience.

A majority also agreed that Americans were no more racist than they were before Trump’s election but his presidency has made people with racist views more open to expressing them.

Black voters were more split when asked if they experienced more racism in their daily lives in the Trump era.

While 33 percent said that statement was mostly true, another 22 percent responded that the statement wasn’t true at all.